I think the two huge things that technology is changing in online advertising are 1) targeting. And 2) what I am starting to think of as “applitisements”, which is to say: display and mobile ads are going to become more and more like mini web applications. Neither of these things is a singular, momentary “innovation” in its own right, nor do I think as trends that they started or will end in 2011, but I think 2011 is when they start really coming together beyond the clumsy first steps.
Targeting is a bit more obvious and already on more people’s radar. As users share and connect more of their data, advertisers are going to be able to hyper-target and personalize their ad buys (think “males 30-40 who follow @mybrand on twitter and live in australia”). I think most people in the advertising world are aware of this at a conceptual level, but 2011 is when you’re going to really start seeing more effective targeted ads.
Applitisements, in the strictest technical sense, have been with us since the first Flash banner, but as online identities become more cross-site pervasive and HTML5 and integration APIs grow (see iAd), online ads are going to become much, much more robust and – hopefully
– better.
Just to take a really simple example off the top of my head: Imagine you’re watching a movie trailer online. At the end of the trailer, not only are you provided with the “theaters closest to you”, but the applitisement already knows which theaters you buy tickets to the most often and displays those first, it lets you invite other people to go with you and buy the tickets without having to login or enter your CC info (ideally, there’s an in-ad password entry or other auth “reverify”). No jumping between websites, pages or windows or copying and pasting. All within the ad. And it doesn’t matter if you’re viewing the ad on a phone or a desktop, it just works.
Now, I’m not saying you’ll see the above example “this” year, but 2011 is the first year where I can actually say to myself “Okay, if I were going to write that ad, I need X, Y, and Z to happen and I have to do A, B, and C” and none of those things feel like some nebulous far-off “someday.” The pieces are all starting to come together.
What are some of the technology innovations we might see in online advertising in 2011?